West Coast Late-Season RPI Report (May 21)

By FullertonBaseballFan

(Titans' opponents in blue)

Big West 

Fullerton 20 (-5) - 33-18, 15-6 (0-1 vs UCLA, 1-2 vs. Riverside) 
Long Beach 67 (-8 ) - 27-25, 14-7 (0-1 vs. P'dine, 2-1 vs. Pacific) 
Irvine 73 (-4) - 30-22, 12-9 (0-1 vs. USD, 2-1 vs. Bakersfield) 
Cal Poly 74 (+12) - 33-20, 13-8 (1-0 at Bakersfield, 3-0 vs. UCSB) 
Northridge 133 (-19) - 23-26, 10-11 (1-2 vs. UC Davis)
UCSB 138 (-12) - 24-27, 10-14 (0-3 at Cal Poly)  
Riverside 145 (+19) - 21-28, 9-12 (2-1 at Fullerton)
UC Davis 186 (+2) - 20-27, 8-10 (1-0 vs. Hawaii, 1-1 at San Jose, 2-1 at Northridge) 
Pacific 247 (+1) - 12-37, 2-16 (0-1 at Santa Clara, 1-2 at Long Beach)

IN (1) - Fullerton.  The Titans are a lock to be in a regional for the 21st straight season and have a chance at being a regional host if they win the first two games at Long Beach before the final game of the series (the hosting sites are announced before that game will be played) is played.  If they split the first two games at Long Beach they will probably be a 2 seed at a regional hosted by a Pac 11 team.

BUBBLE (1) - Long Beach.  Long Beach will win the conference by winning the series with Fullerton but will not be an at-large if they lose the series to Fullerton.

OUT (7) - Irvine, Cal Poly, Northridge, UCSB, Riverside, UC Davis, Pacific.  Cal Poly could finish in a three-way for the Big West title at 16-8 but cannot win the autobid and has too low of an RPI to be considered for an at-large.


Pac 11

UCLA 3 (NC) - 38-14, 17-10 (1-0 at Fullerton, 2-1 at Cal)  
Oregon 5 (NC) - 41-14, 19-8 (1-0 vs. USC, 3-0 vs. Seattle)
Stanford 13 (-1) - 36-15, 17-10 (1-0 vs. USF, 3-0 at Utah)
ASU 17 (+4) - 35-18, 17-10 - INELIGIBLE (0-1 vs. Arizona, 3-0 vs. UW)  
Arizona 18 (-1) - 36-16, 18-9 (1-0 at ASU, 2-1 at USC)
OSU 38 (-4) - 35-18, 15-12 (1-0 vs. Portland, 2-1 at WSU)
Washington 55 (-3) - 27-24, 11-16 (1-0 vs. Portland, 0-3 at ASU)
Cal 66 (+9) - 27-24, 10-17 (1-0 vs. WSU, 1-2 vs. UCLA)
WSU 80 (+1) - 26-26, 11-16 (0-1 at Cal, 1-0 vs. USC, 1-2 vs. OSU)
USC 86 (-8 ) - 23-27, 8-19 (0-1 at Oregon, 0-1 at WSU, 1-2 vs. Arizona)
Utah 190 (+13) - 14-38, 6-21 (1-0 at Utah Valley, 0-3 vs. Stanford)

IN (5) - UCLA, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona, OSU.  UCLA and Oregon have the inside track on national seeds - UCLA due to their RPI and Oregon due to series wins AT UCLA, Stanford and Arizona that have them in first place.  Stanford is a lock to host by winning at least one of the first two games vs. Cal.  Fullerton and Arizona are probably battling for the last western regional host site with the other likely to end up as a 2 seed.  OSU is going to be a 2 or 3 seed, depending on how they finish, wherever the NCAA tells the plane to fly to.

BUBBLE (1) - Washington.  The Huskies played their way into at-large consideration by going 5-1 in their two previous Pac 11 series before being swept at home by UCLA and at ASU.  They probably need to sweep WSU to get into a regional.

OUT (5) - ASU, USC, Cal, WSU, Utah.


WCC

San Diego 28 (+1) - 39-13, 14-7 (1-0 at Irvine)
P'dine 33 (NC) - 32-20, 14-7 (1-0 at Long Beach, 2-1 at LMU) 
Gonzaga 45 (+6) - 32-22, 12-9 (3-0 vs. Portland)
LMU 101 (-9) - 24-26, 12-9 (0-1 at SDSU, 1-2 at Pepperdine) 
St. Mary's 107 (-3) - 23-26, 7-14 (DNP)
USF 118 (+1) - 26-29, 12-9 (0-1 at Stanford)
Portland 123 (-26) - 23-23, 12-12 (0-1 at OSU, 0-1 at Washington, 0-3 at Gonzaga)
BYU 149 (-4) - 21-25, 9-12 (2-1 vs. Santa Clara)
Santa Clara 172 (-15) - 22-25, 4-17 (1-0 at Pacific, 1-2 at BYU)

IN (2) - San Diego, P'dine.  The Toreros and Waves play for the WCC title this weekend at P'dine.  The winner will probably be a 2 seed and the loser will probably be a 3 seed at regionals in CA (UCLA, Stanford or Fullerton if the Titans host).

BUBBLE (1) - Gonzaga, LMU.  Gonzaga played their way back onto the good side of the bubble with a sweep last weekend and needs to go at least 2-2 this week (at WSU, at BYU) to stay there.

OUT (6) - LMU, St. Mary's, Portland, LMU, USF, Santa Clara, BYU.


WAC

New Mexico State 26 (+4) - 35-20, 11-7 (0-1 at UNM, 1-0 at Bakersfield, 3-0 at San Jose)
Nevada 65 (+3) - 31-22, 11-7 (1-2 at Hawaii)
Hawaii 70 (+3) - 30-23, 10-8 (0-1 at UC Davis, 2-1 vs. Nevada)
Fresno State 108 (+13) - 25-26, 8-10 (2-1 vs. La Tech)
Sac State 111 (-23) - 27-26, 11-7 (0-3 vs. UNLV)
La. Tech 119 (-10) - 24-25, 6-9 (0-1 at Arkansas, 1-2 at Fresno)
San Jose State 208 (-14) - 22-27, 5-13 (1-1 vs. UC Davis, 0-3 vs. NMSU)

IN - None.  The only guarantee is the winner of the conf tournament getting the automatic bid.

BUBBLE (1) - NMSU.  The Aggies lost nine of ten before winning four straight to go from being a lock to being on the bubble.  Their RPI is still keeping them in the at-large conversation and they will probably be in a regional unless they go 0-2-BBQ in the WAC tournament.  If they are in a regional they are likely to be a 3 seed at Arizona (if they host) or at a regional in Texas (Baylor, Texas A&M or Rice).

OUT (6) - Nevada, Hawaii, Sac State, La Tech, Fresno, San Jose.  San Jose will miss out on the WAC tournament and the other five are hoping the roulette wheel lands on their number in the WAC tournament to win the automatic bid.


MWC

TCU 30 (+2) - 35-17, 18-6 (1-0 at Oklahoma, 2-1 vs. SDSU)
New Mexico 62 (+18 ) - 33-22, 18-6 (1-0 vs. NMSU, 3-0 vs. Air Force)
San Diego State 140 (+22) - 24-32, 12-12 (1-0 vs. LMU, 1-2 at TCU)
UNLV 209 (+14) - 26-29, 7-17 (3-0 at Sac State)
Air Force 258 (+2) - 12-39, 5-19 (1-0 at Northern Colorado, 0-3 at New Mexico)

IN (1) - TCU.  The Horned Frogs fought thru a ton of injuries but are getting healthy and playing well at the right time.  They are looking like a 2 or 3 seed, depending on how they finish, in a regional in Texas (Baylor, Rice or Texas A&M).

BUBBLE (1) - New Mexico.  The Lobos nearly buried themselves by starting 2-9 but will be an interesting study for the selection committee if they lose in the MWC tournament final.

OUT (3) - SDSU, UNLV, Air Force.


Independents/Others

Utah Valley 68 (-2) - 43-12, 28-0 (0-1 vs. Utah, 4-0 vs. Northern Colorado)
Bakersfield 175 (-16) - 22-28 (0-1 vs. NMSU, 1-2 at Irvine)
Seattle 202 (-4) - 18-22 (0-3 at Oregon)

BUBBLE (1) - Utah Valley.  They had their 32 game winning streak snapped by Utah and could end finish 46-12 and if they do, the NCAA selection committee will have an interesting decision on their hands.

OUT (2) - Bakersfield, Seattle.