Monday, March 26, 2012

West Coast Midseason RPI Report (March 26)

By FullertonBaseballFan

The RPI is starting to become relevant now that everybody has played about 20-25 games and conference play has started in most conferences or will be doing so this week. This is a good time to do a "mid-season" report with some commentary on where the five western conferences stand at this point in terms of the post-season.

Big West
Fullerton 15 - 14-8
Cal Poly 57 - 16-8
Irvine 64 - 14-8
Long Beach 101 - 8-14
Riverside 108 - 7-10
UCSB 122 - 11-11
UC Davis 130 - 10-9
Northridge 146 - 11-13
Pacific 205 - 7-16

Commentary - It looks like the Big West will get no more than three regional bids and most likely will end up with two regional teams. Fullerton is positioning themselves to be a regional host with a strong run during the conference season but has lots of work to do to be a national seed.


Pac-11
Stanford 2 - 15-2, 2-0 (3rd game vs. USC today)
UCLA 4 - 17-4, 4-1 (3rd game vs. WSU today)
Arizona 17 - 18-7, 4-2
Oregon 30 - 15-6, 3-3
OSU 32 - 15-7, 4-2
Washington 40 - 15-7, 2-1
ASU 41 - 15-8, 3-3 - NOTE - ASU IS INELIGIBLE FOR THE POST-SEASON
USC 46 - 13-8, 1-4 (3rd game at Stanford today)
Cal 97 - 13-9, 1-5
WSU 107 - 10-10, 1-4 (3rd game at UCLA today)
Utah 190 - 7-15, 3-3

Commentary - The Pac 11 will probably end up with five or six teams in regionals and if there are two national seeds from the west (last year there weren't any, most years there are 1-2) they will likely be Stanford and UCLA.


WCC
P'dine 19 - 16-8
Gonzaga 24 - 16-6
San Diego 47 - 20-6, 2-0 (3rd game today vs. Santa Clara)
BYU 50 - 9-9, 4-2
Santa Clara 52 - 13-6, 0-2 (3rd game today at USD)
Portland 92 - 12-5, 1-2
St. Mary's 110 - 14-8, 1-2
USF 113 - 12-13
LMU 160 - 8-12

Commentary - There isn't much dispute that the WCC has been the second best conference in the western U.S. in 2012 with five of their teams having better RPI's than the next two Big West schools. The WCC has been a one bid the last three years but looks like a three bid conference this season.


WAC
New Mexico State 16 - 21-8
Fresno State 59 - 13-10
Hawaii 67 - 14-11
Nevada 77 - 12-9
La. Tech 141 - 11-11
San Jose State 172 - 10-11
Sac State 220 - 12-13

Commentary - The WAC could end up getting two regional bids if NMSU can continue to play well in WAC games and they end up keeping their RPI under 50. If they don't, the WAC will be a one bid conference. The WAC looks comparable to the Big West, which shows you how far the level of competition in the Big West has fallen.


MWC
TCU 39 - 12-9, 1-2
New Mexico 76 - 10-11, 5-1
San Diego State 129 - 10-15, 0-3
UNLV 207 - 11-13, 1-5
Air Force 241 - 6-15, 2-1

Commentary - The only way two teams from this conference get into regionals is if somebody upsets TCU in the conference tournament, which is what it took last season to get two teams into the regionals.


Independents
Bakersfield 157 - 7-14
Seattle 183 - 11-9

Commentary - Bakersfield made lots of noise last year they should have been one of the last teams included in the regional field. That won't be the case this season.

No comments: